After the Derby, all bets are off. Betting Belmont Stakes belmont stakes betting online
onlinehorsehandicappingThe morning after the second-most stunning upset in the 131 years of the Kentucky Derby, some still-shocked sportswriters gathered at the barn of Wayne Lukas to ask the master to explain it all.Lukas is a four-time Derby winner, the closest thing we have to Yoda on this annual Triple Crown voyage, but handicap Giacomo as a contender, he did not."I had a huge superfecta ticket and I didn't even have those first two at all on it," Lukas said of the wacky 1-2 finish of 50-1 Giacomo and 71-1 Closing Argument. "To me it will do a couple of things. No. 1, everybody that's got a 3-year-old that's alive and well and has got a heartbeat will be looking at the Derby next year. And you can rest assured that we will never have less than 20 in, because these kind of things just fuel that fire. There might even be a cry for running 24."Lukas could accelerate his prediction by 11 1/2 months and apply it to Saturday's Preakness. Giacomo has thrown so little panic into his rivals that if the Pimlico starting gate could accommodate more than 14, people would be showing up with stable ponies and carousel horses to take a shot at him. High Limit, who was dead last in the Derby, will be in the Preakness field. Golden Man's people are willing to put up an extra $100,000 for the honor of beating him.Giacomo has every chance of being the longest-priced Derby winner in the Preakness since 1953, when Dark Star upset Native Dancer by a head in the Derby and paid $51.80, only to go off in the Preakness at 11-1. Dark Star finished fifth in the Preakness, won by odds-on favorite Native Dancer.It's not unusual for Derby winners to not go off as the betting choice in the second leg of the Triple Crown. In fact, in four of the last eight runnings of the Preakness, the Derby winner was not favored. It is worth noting that three of those ignored Derby winners did win the second jewel and went on to the Belmont for a chance at the Triple Crown: Silver Charm was the third choice in the 1997 Preakness after Captain Bodgit and Free House. Real Quiet (1998) was the second choice behind Victory Gallop. Charismatic (trained by none other than Lukas) garnered no respect in the 1999 Preakness, going off as the fifth choice in the wagering at 8-1.Giacomo is not likely to go off at Dark Star double-digit odds. The beaten Derby favorite, Bellamy Road, is injured and will miss the race. Another reason is that souvenir hunters and eBayers will buy $2 win tickets on Giacomo, just in case. It would be no surprise, though, if he is second or even third choice.And given that Visa will end its $5 million Triple Crown bonus and series sponsorship program after this year, ah, wouldn't it serve them right if Giacomo forced them to pay up? After that improbable Derby, don't bet against it.ALEX-AID: Alex's Lemonade Stand, the children's cancer charity that is partners with the owners of Derby third-place finisher Afleet Alex (the likely Preakness fave), raised $11,000 at Churchill Downs on Derby Day. Liz Scott, whose late 8-year-old daughter Alex founded the charity, has been invited to both the Preakness and Belmont to continue fund-raising and awareness efforts.RACE OF THE WEEK: Aside from the obvious Preakness, on Friday the $500,000 (Grade I) Pimlico Special is expected to feature the overdue 2005 debut of 2003 Kentucky Derby winner Funny Cide. Unless, of course, it's too hot, or it rains, or if jockey Jose Santos has too hearty a breakfast that morning.




